Gram (prev. Toncoin) (GRAM) Price Outlook & Technical Analysis

Outlook summary

Gram (prev. Toncoin) is below its falling 20- and 50-day averages (50-day: $1.3924), a weak medium-term structure; there is not yet enough history for a 200-day read. RSI (14) at 35 points to weak momentum. ADX at 37 indicates a strong trend. Realized volatility is 57% annualized. The last 30 days (-22%) were a bigger move than a typical month for GRAM. GRAM is 86% below its all-time high, a deep drawdown that would take a multi-fold rally to recover.

Expected range (volatility-based, not a target)

These bands are sized from the realized volatility of GRAM over the last 90 days: 3.0% per day, or 57% annualized. They are centred on the current price with no drift assumed. A 1σ band covers roughly two in three outcomes and a 2σ band about 19 in 20 — if volatility stays where it is and returns behave like a bell curve. Crypto has fat tails, so moves beyond 2σ happen more often than that. This is a range of plausible outcomes, not a price target. Check against history: over the past year, 79% of the rolling 30-day moves of GRAM stayed inside today's 1σ band — close to the theoretical ~68%.

Reference levels

Levels come from clustered swing highs and lows on the daily chart, the 50- and 200-day moving averages and the 30-day and 52-week extremes; levels within 1.5% of each other are merged. Levels closer to the price than a quarter of the daily ATR are not shown, and none is rated by strength: in our replay, levels touched more often did not hold better.

Historical behaviour

Over the last 91 days, GRAM moved more than ±20% within a 30-day window 8.8% of the time. Only 40% of those windows ended higher — the year leaned to the downside. The best 30-day stretch returned +20%; the worst -25%. Over 7-day windows, moves larger than ±7.5% happened 25% of the time.

Scenarios

Scenarios are conditional — if price does X, the next reference is Y. They are not a forecast of which one will happen.

Frequently asked questions

What is the Gram (prev. Toncoin) price prediction for the next 30 days?

This page gives no price target — no one can forecast one reliably. What the data supports is a volatility range: at the current realized volatility of GRAM, the 30-day 1σ band runs from $1.0085 to $1.3971 and the 2σ band from $0.8569 to $1.6443. These are statistical ranges, not predictions, and volatility itself changes. Over the past year, 79% of the 30-day moves of GRAM fit inside today's 1σ band.

What are the key support and resistance levels for Gram (prev. Toncoin)?

The nearest resistance is $1.2982, 9.4% above the current price, followed by $1.3400. The nearest support is $1.1560, 2.6% below the current price, followed by $1.1010.

Is Gram (prev. Toncoin) in an uptrend or a downtrend?

Gram (prev. Toncoin) is below its falling 20- and 50-day averages (50-day: $1.3924), a weak medium-term structure; there is not yet enough history for a 200-day read. RSI (14) at 35 points to weak momentum.

How volatile is Gram (prev. Toncoin)?

Realized volatility is 57% annualized. Over the last 91 days, GRAM moved more than ±20% within a 30-day window 8.8% of the time. Over 7-day windows, moves larger than ±7.5% happened 25% of the time.